NFL MVP Odds & +EV Opportunities: Allen Leads The Field
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is back on top of the NFL MVP odds abord. After six weeks of the season, Allen’s best available price sits at +250 at Circa, just ahead of 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy who’s at +266 on Kalshi. Chiefs superstar Patrick Mahomes remains a distant third at +1074 also on Kalshi.
Be sure to keep a close eye on our +EV futures board throughout the season, where you can find the NFL MVP price from all major sportsbooks and fantasy apps.
NFL MVP Odds & +EV
MVP odds
| MVP |  DraftKings |  FanDuel |  BetMGM |  Fanatics |  Bovada |  theScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | +170 | +150 | +140 | +150 | +150 | +160 |
| Brock Purdy | +350 | +400 | +500 | +375 | +375 | +450 |
| Joe Burrow | +450 | +600 | +450 | +500 | +600 | +500 |
| Jared Goff | +2500 | +3300 | +2000 | +2500 | +3300 | +2500 |
| Caleb Williams | +1500 | +2200 | +1200 | +1500 | +2000 | +1600 |
| Trevor Lawrence | +1200 | +2500 | +800 | +4000 | +1500 | +3000 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +4000 | +1500 | +3000 | +650 | +5000 | +1200 |
| Jordan Love | +650 | +5000 | +1200 | +2500 | +800 | +4000 |
| Justin Herbert | +2500 | +800 | +4000 | +1500 | +3000 | +650 |
| Drake Maye | +1500 | +3000 | +650 | +5000 | +1200 | +2500 |
| Christian Mccaffrey | +5000 | +1200 | +2500 | +800 | +4000 | +1500 |
| Jaxon Smith Njigba | +800 | +4000 | +1500 | +3000 | +650 | +5000 |
| Dak Prescott | +3000 | +650 | +5000 | +1200 | +2500 | +800 |
| + 64 more | ||||||
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Get StartedOdds as of Oct 23rd at 8:30 pm ET
Until a superstar at another position proves otherwise, MVP is a quarterback award. Quarterbacks have won 13 straight NFL MVPs, and only three non-quarterbacks have won the award in the last 25 years, all of them running backs. Team success matters almost as much as individual production, with nearly every winner during that stretch playing for a team with at least 11 wins. The lone exception was Adrian Peterson’s herculean season with the 2012 Vikings, who won 10 games.
Which lands the board on Allen, who has narrowly reclaimed his spot as the outright NFL MVP favorite. The Bills star threw for 255 yards and two touchdowns against the Raiders to retake the lead in the MVP race. Allen’s ability to create touchdowns with both his arm and legs gives him a literal leg up in this competition. Even when his passing numbers aren’t spectacular, Allen can take over a game on the ground and create the signature moments needed to win the MVP award.
Our fair odds price Allen at +242, while Circa offers +250 odds, leaving a small +2.3% EV opportunity. Which is why the best value remains further down the board.
Best +EV NFL MVP Opportunities
Six games into the season, the NFL MVP is race is beginning to take shape. Allen and Purdy have separated themselves from the pack, with Mahomes still in striking distance as the leader of an undefeated Chiefs team. That being said, the best betting opportunities lie with quarterbacks who still have time to force their way into the conversation.
Jordan Love +143% EV
If you haven’t been watching Green Bay Packers football lately, Jordan Love has been absolutely hooping on the field. Over just the last two weeks against the Bears and Cowboys, Love has thrown for 643 yards and three touchdowns along with a rushing score. Those are the type of numbers that force the NFL world to take notice.
Love has begun to put together the type of explosive performances needed to force his way into the NFL MVP conversation. The Packers offense is rolling, and Green Bay looks set to get stalwart running back Josh Jacobs back shortly. Plus, defensive reinforcements are on the way in the form of stalwart passrusher Micah Parsons.
If Green Bay can go on a winning streak, with Love pulling the strings of their outstanding offense, his +4000 price at BetOnline will soon look like a bargain. Our fair odds have Love at +1587, creating the massive +143% EV opportunity. Of all the quarterbacks with a chance at crashing the MVP party, Love offers the most attractive price.