National Championship +EV Opportunities Week 8: Chaotic Week 7

    Josie Costigan · Professor·Published on

    No. 3 Ohio State is the betting favorite to with the National Championship. Many books have the Buckeyes priced around +480, though there is value at Rebet with +510 odds.

    It was a chaotic Week 7 aside from Ohio State, though, as No. 1 Georgia lost 27-24 to Auburn, No. 2 Notre Dame lost to No. 8 BYu 28-24, No. 3 Miami needed double OT to get past Florida State, No. 6 Alabama lost to No. 14 Tennessee and No. 7 Texas fell to Florida.

    National Championship Odds & +EV

    National Championship Winner odds

    2026 NCAAF · live odds
    National Championship Winner
    DraftKingsDraftKings
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    BetMGMBetMGM
    FanaticsFanatics
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    BetRiversBetRivers
    Georgia+480+480+500+500+475+475
    Miami FL+600+700+600+575+600+600
    Notre Dame+460+500+400+450+475+450
    Ohio State+500+500+500+475+500+450
    Indiana+750+750+800+850+750+1100

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    Ohio State heads to its bye after sneaking past No. 5 Indiana 19-15 last week and moving up to No. 3 in the AP Poll as a result. The Buckeyes still have two more ranked games on their schedule, at No. 16 USC and home to No. 24 Northwestern while The Game looms to close out the season as well.

    That Indiana win bodes well for the Big Ten Championship game for OSU as their remaining schedule is certainly much easier than what they’ve faced already.

    Best +EV National Championship Opportunities

    I highlighted Miami’s +16.65 EV last week and while a lot of that value got chewed up moving from +800 to +550 to +600 odds this week, however, FanDuel is still offering the Canes’ National Championship odds at +750.

    This is great value as the next closest odds are +625 at BetOnline but there’s tremendous liquidity at lower odds at peer-to-peer markets. Kalshi has $28.6k for Miami +660 and Polymarket has 1.1k at +600.

    Miami is led by Heisman Trophy hopeful, Darian Mensah and a stout defense that was most certainly tested last week vs FSU. Certainly, Miami will learn from those shortcomings and apply them in its trip to South Bend to take on No. 4 Notre Dame in early November.